Gridiron Guide: NFL Week 9 Predictions, Schedule, Odds, Injuries, and Fantasy Insights


The Week 9 NFL schedule for the 2023 season is chock-full of thrilling matchups, and we've got your back with all the essential information you need as you gear up for the weekend gridiron action. Our team of NFL Nation reporters brings you the pivotal factors in every game, along with bold predictions for each showdown.

Furthermore, dive into the numbers with ESPN Stats & Information, offering crucial statistics and betting insights for each contest. Our Football Power Index (FPI) delves into the analytics, providing game projections to give you an edge. NFL analyst Matt Bowen breaks down the X factor for each matchup, while fantasy guru Eric Moody shares valuable fantasy football insights. To cap it all off, analytics writer Seth Walder and Moody weigh in with their final score predictions for every game. Everything you need to stay in the know is right here in one place, preparing you for an action-packed NFL weekend.

Now, let's break down the full Week 9 slate, featuring exciting matchups like the Dolphins and Chiefs facing off in Germany, the Cowboys taking on the 7-1 Eagles, and a quarterback showdown between Josh Allen and Joe Burrow. The excitement peaks with a "Monday Night Football" clash between the Los Angeles Chargers and the New York Jets, exclusively on ESPN. (Please note that game times are for Sunday unless otherwise specified.


Key Storyline: Chiefs' Defensive Dilemma Against Former Star Tyreek Hill

In Week 9, the Kansas City Chiefs face their first test in trying to contain their former star receiver, Tyreek Hill. The choices they make regarding how to defend Miami's primary threat and their effectiveness in executing those strategies could be pivotal in determining the game's outcome. While the Chiefs have deployed L'Jarius Sneed to shadow other top receivers this season, Tyreek Hill occupies a unique category of his own. He currently leads the league with 1,014 receiving yards, boasts eight touchdowns, and has racked up an impressive 382 yards after the catch (YAC). — Analysis by Adam Teicher


Bold Prediction: Dolphins' Defense to Test Patrick Mahomes

The Miami Dolphins are poised to challenge quarterback Patrick Mahomes, compelling him to do something he's accomplished only twice in his career – throw multiple interceptions in consecutive games. Mahomes has already thrown eight interceptions this season. After three consecutive weeks without forcing a turnover, Miami's defense has reawakened with takeaways in the last two games. With the Jalen Ramsey-Xavien Howard defensive back duo active on Sunday, the Dolphins are likely to extend this streak against the Chiefs. — Insights from Marcel Louis-Jacques



Notable Stat: Tua Tagovailoa's Remarkable Touchdown Streak

Dolphins' quarterback Tua Tagovailoa boasts an impressive streak, having thrown a passing touchdown in 17 consecutive games. This marks the longest active streak in the NFL and ranks as the fourth longest in Dolphins history. Notably, legendary Dan Marino holds the top three spots, with his longest streak consisting of an astonishing 30 consecutive games with a passing touchdown.


Key Matchup Factor: Chiefs' Chris Jones Versus Dolphins' Offensive Line

Chiefs' defensive tackle Chris Jones presents a notable matchup advantage when he lines up on the edge, particularly against Dolphins right tackle Austin Jackson. Jones boasts an impressive pass rush win rate of 26.2% when rushing from the edge this season, making him a potent threat against Miami's offensive line. — Analysis by Matt Bowen


Fantasy Focus: Rashee Rice Emerges as a Chiefs' WR Option

In the fantasy realm, keep an eye on Rashee Rice, who led all Chiefs wide receivers in snaps played during their last outing against the Broncos. Over the past four games, he has averaged 5.0 targets and 12.7 fantasy points. With the Chiefs' offense expected to bounce back in a potentially high-scoring showdown against the Dolphins, Rice could play a pivotal role, particularly with a favorable matchup against Dolphins slot cornerback Kader Kohou. For more fantasy insights, check out the Week 9 rankings. — Insights from Eric Moody


Betting Insight: Dolphins' ATS Trends

A noteworthy betting nugget is that the Dolphins have excelled when favored this season, boasting a perfect 5-0 ATS record, but have a less impressive 1-2 ATS record as underdogs. If you're looking for more betting insights, be sure to read on.


Game Predictions:

Moody's pick: Chiefs 30, Dolphins 24

Walder's pick: Dolphins 28, Chiefs 24

FPI prediction: Kansas City, 50.8% (by an average of 0.3 points)

Now, let's turn our attention to another intriguing matchup:


Vikings (4-4) at Falcons (4-4)

1 p.m. ET | FOX | Spread: ATL -4.5 (37.5)


Key Storyline: Battle of the Unknowns

In a game that's sure to intrigue fans of the unknown, both the Atlanta Falcons and the Minnesota Vikings are starting new quarterbacks. Taylor Heinicke steps in for the benched Desmond Ridder, while Jaren Hall replaces the injured Kirk Cousins with a torn Achilles. Although both quarterbacks saw action last week, how they'll fare as starters with a full week of preparation remains uncertain until Sunday. Heinicke brings 25 career starts, primarily with Washington, to the table, whereas Hall, a rookie out of BYU, makes his first career start. This will mark the third rookie quarterback Atlanta faces in their inaugural start this season, having already encountered Carolina's Bryce Young in Week 1 and Tennessee's Will Levis last week. — Insights by Michael Rothstein


Bold Prediction: Defensive Battle

Despite an over/under of 37.5, this game is likely to result in fewer than 30 total points. The Vikings' defense has been formidable, limiting opponents to just 13.3 points per game over the past three weeks. The Falcons, recognizing the need for an offensive boost, have elevated their backup quarterback, Heinicke. The Vikings will start Hall, who won't have the services of Justin Jefferson (hamstring) and may struggle to rely on a running game that ranks second-lowest in the NFL with an average of 73.3 yards per game. — Bold Prediction from Kevin Seifert


Key Stat: Playoff Implications

Both the Vikings and Falcons enter this matchup with identical 4-4 records. History indicates that eight out of the 13 teams that started 5-4 in the past two seasons made the playoffs, while two of the eight teams that started 4-5 also secured playoff berths.


Matchup X Factor: Falcons' Jessie Bates III

Keep an eye on Falcons safety Jessie Bates III, who is poised to impact the game with late movement and disguises from two-high shells. Bates will look to jump in-breakers against Jaren Hall, adding an element of unpredictability to the Falcons' defensive strategy. — Analysis by Matt Bowen


Fantasy Insight: Vikings vs. Falcons

For fantasy managers, it's worth noting that while the Vikings may consider a run-heavy approach with rookie quarterback Jaren Hall under center, they face a Falcons defense that ranks eighth in run stop win rate. Dive deeper into the Week 9 rankings for more fantasy guidance. — Insights from Eric Moody


Betting Nugget: Falcons' ATS Struggles

The Falcons have had a tough time against the spread (ATS), with a 1-6 ATS record in their last seven games. For more betting insights, be sure to read on.


Game Predictions:

Moody's pick: Falcons 24, Vikings 14

Walder's pick: Vikings 20, Falcons 17

FPI prediction: Minnesota, 50.8% (by an average of 0.3 points)

For more in-depth analysis and matchup details, explore the following articles:


Hall's readiness as he prepares to start for the Vikings

Falcons' decision to change their starting quarterback

Kirk Cousins undergoes surgery for torn Achilles

Falcons elevate Heinicke to starting QB in their clash against the Vikings 



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